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Prediction for CME (2021-02-20T11:00:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2021-02-20T11:00Z
CME Note: From Dr. Lan Jian: In the declining part of the fast wind stream, there seem to be two flux ropes: one during Feb 23 05UT Feb 24 03UT, and the other one from Feb 24 04UT to present.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2021-02-23T05:00Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 4.0

Predicted Arrival Time: 2021-02-23T00:07Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 6.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (NASA M2M)
Prediction Method Note:

NASA GSFC SWRC ENLIL settings:
ENLIL version: 2.7
Resolution: low2 (256x30x90)
Ambient settings: a3b1f
WSA version: 2.2
(Enlil 2.7 w/res:low2 ambient:a3b1f, WSA2.2)

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Lead Time: 38.22 hour(s)
Difference: 4.88 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Michael GreklekMcKeon (GSFC) on 2021-02-21T14:47Z

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